$700B in AI capex. 49 GW of missing power. Listed infrastructure at 2009 prices.
Vol. 1, No. 39 · Juneteenth · The AI Power Grid Crunch · Asia $7.5T · Private credit split.
Briefings, research, charts and analysis on the institutions, capital flows and systemic risks shaping long-horizon portfolios.
Vol. 1, No. 39 · Juneteenth · The AI Power Grid Crunch · Asia $7.5T · Private credit split.
16/16 checks passed. Top subject: $700B in AI capex. 49 GW of missing power. Awaiting approval to send.
Radar load 7.9/100 · Chokepoint concentration rises to 53% · Transition-mineral bottleneck at 43% · What changed and what it means for long-duration capital.
The average large public pension fund now allocates 11–15% of assets to private markets. Understanding how pension funds access, structure and manage these allocations reveals the mechanics behind one of the most important capital flows in institutional investing.
The fund finance market — covering subscription lines, NAV loans, hybrid facilities and GP financing — is estimated at approximately US$1 trillion. It has become a standard part of private markets investing that every institutional LP should understand.
ABP manages over €530 billion for 2.8 million Dutch public sector employees — making it Europe's largest pension fund and one of the ten biggest in the world. Its asset allocation is shifting sharply toward infrastructure and private equity ahead of a 2027 pension system overhaul.
Evergreen and semi-liquid structures have grown from under US$10 billion in annual flows in 2020 to a projected US$74 billion in 2025. Asset owners use them to access private markets without the pacing constraints of traditional closed-end funds.
NAV lending — borrowing against a fund's net asset value — has grown from a niche tool to a mainstream part of private equity finance. Asset owners increasingly encounter it as a structural feature inside their PE allocations.
Both are Singapore state investment institutions, but Temasek is an active owner of companies while GIC is a long-horizon reserves manager. Understanding the distinction matters for anyone tracking Asian sovereign capital.
The Warsh Fed held rates, erased the last cut, and nine members now dot a hike this year. The world's largest fund just recovered $68bn from its Q1 rout. One chart.