Weekend Cinematic — Deep-Dive
A new flagship scenario report every Saturday, paired with a six-minute cinematic mini-movie. Built for institutional investors who think in decades.
Weekend cinematic scenario reports for long-horizon capital. A new deep-dive every Saturday — each pairs a five-minute scenario film with a paid-grade written report.
The Probability Desk · 29 May 2026
The Slow Unpegging: De-Dollarization, Gold, and the Next Reserve Order
The dollar’s share of world reserves just fell below 57% for the first time since the 1990s. A cinematic plus a paid-grade scenario report — evidence ledger, Bayesian update, a 50,000-path simulation, the scenario tree, and the universal-owner portfolio map.
Watch + read the full scenario →